[MARMAM] New paper on sensitivity analysis of residency and site fidelity...
eduardo.morteo at gmail.com
Wed Jun 27 12:04:51 PDT 2012
We are pleased to announce the publication of the following paper:
Morteo E., A. Rocha-Olivares, y R. Morteo. 2012. Sensitivity analysis of residency and site fidelity estimations to variations in sampling effort and individual catchability. Revista Mexicana de Biodiversidad, 83:487-495. ISSN: 1870-3453
Mark-recapture techniques are fundamental for assessing marine mammal population dynamics and individual temporal patterns. Since biases imposed by field conditions are generally unknown, we simulated variations in sampling effort (m) and maximum individual catchability (rmax) to analyze their effects on residency levels measured through the number of recaptures (occurrence, O), duration of stay (permanence, P), and average recurrence (periodicity, I) relative to a reference level of exhaustive daily sampling frequency. The number or recorded individuals (Dr) was also used to determine the performance of the simulations. Results for standardized (s) parameters showed that occurrences (Os) were proportional to m and were not influenced by rmax. Individual permanence (Ps) and individual periodicity (Is) were 8-49% and 3-11.74 times lower than expected, respectively, depending on m and rmax. Also, Os, Ps, and Is were not influenced by study duration, thus inter-study comparisons are feasible if m and rmax are similar. Dr was 68-92% (rmax= 0.01) and 1-8% (rmax= 1.0) lower than expected depending on m. Longer studies were more accurate but greater effort did not significantly increase Dr estimates. The use of bimonthly sampling frequencies (m= 0.07) was barely accurate and predictions for incomplete datasets were poor. Survey field data were also analyzed from 14 published studies on 4 dolphin species and compared to daily sampling frequencies; resulting values for Os, Ps, and Dr were 62.4-93.3%, 11.6-66.4%, and 2.4-33.8% lower than expected, respectively; also Is was 2.3-7.3 times lower than expected. The model produced Dr values that were similar to population estimates from empirical data, and bias was smaller than 15% in 87.5% of the cases, thus simulation accuracy was deemed acceptable.
Key words: population dynamics, occurrence, permanence, periodicity, simulations, dolphins.
The entire contents of the journal may be downloaded from the official site (PDFs):
This paper (PDF) is also available directly through the author's web-page:
Please do not hesitate to contact me if you have any comments or questions.
Eduardo Morteo, Dr.
Marine Mammal Laboratory
Institute of Marine Sciences and Fisheries
617 Calle Hidalgo, Col. Río Jamapa, Boca del Río, Veracruz, Mexico. CP 94290
Ph: +52 (229) 956 72 27 Ext. 114
Fax: +52 (229) 956 70 70
E-mail: emorteo at uv.mx
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